BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Lone Tree

Class: 8 Class Rank: 21 Conference: 8-4 Record: (32-9-0) Overall: (63-35-0) Overall Strength =   64.60

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    W    97.52  41   6    A  44 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland     32.90      2.10                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    W   113.79  56   7    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine           49.17     -0.17                      
  3 09/09/2011 Away    W *  88.76  42   6    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO           24.14     11.86                      
  4 09/16/2011 Away    W * 121.14  68   0    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London             56.52     11.48                      
  5 09/23/2011 Home    W    67.45  55  20   ZZ  53 ( 16- 40-  0) Danville                2.83     32.17                      
  6 09/30/2011 Away    W   108.00  32   6    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM           43.38    -17.38                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    L    52.62   7  35    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                -12.00    -16.00                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    W *  65.02  63  24    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys         0.40     38.60                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    W *  93.36  54   0    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      28.74     25.26                      
 10 10/26/2011 Home    W    95.61  49   7    8  33 ( 48- 46-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    30.99     11.01                      
 11 10/31/2011 Away    W    83.00  14  13    8   7 ( 83- 27-  0) Brooklyn BGM           18.38    -17.38                      
 12 11/04/2011 Home    L    64.08   7  20    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -0.54    -12.46                      
 13 08/24/2012 Home    L    37.38   0  44   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -27.24    -16.76                      
 14 08/31/2012 Away    L    62.74  19  20    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       -1.88      0.88                      
 15 09/07/2012 Away    W *  59.76  21  14    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO           -4.86     11.86                      
 16 09/14/2012 Home    W *  99.60  56   6    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London             34.98     15.02                      
 17 09/21/2012 Away    W    95.52  47  14    A  44 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland     30.90      2.10                      
 18 09/28/2012 Home    W *  86.36  55   8    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      21.74     25.26                      
 19 10/05/2012 Away    W    98.54  62   0   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    33.92     28.08                      
 20 10/12/2012 Away    W    89.99  68  14   ZZ  53 ( 16- 40-  0) Danville               25.37     28.63                      
 21 10/19/2012 Home    L    73.08  14  18    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                  8.46    -12.46                      
 22 10/24/2012 Home    L *  52.21  21  35    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma             -12.41     -1.59                      
 23 08/30/2013 Away    L    52.92   3  35   1A  15 ( 79- 27-  0) Mediapolis            -11.70    -20.30  ND                  
 24 09/06/2013 Home    W    88.20  28   0    A  41 ( 49- 48-  0) Traer North Tama       23.58      4.42  ND                  
 25 09/13/2013 Home    L *  18.22  14  45    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO          -46.40     15.40                      
 26 09/20/2013 Away    W *  92.14  57  18    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London             27.52     11.48                      
 27 09/27/2013 Home    W    77.97  39  20    A  44 ( 41- 50-  0) Riverside Highland     13.35      5.65                      
 28 10/04/2013 Away    W *  56.90  20   6    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      -7.72     21.72                      
 29 10/11/2013 Home    W    61.00  28   0   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -3.62     31.62                      
 30 10/18/2013 Home    W    62.45  37   7   ZZ  53 ( 16- 40-  0) Danville               -2.17     32.17                      
 31 10/25/2013 Away    L    37.62   0  43    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                -27.00    -16.00                      
 32 10/30/2013 Away    L    33.34   0  43   1A  25 ( 63- 35-  0) Packwood Pekin        -31.28    -11.72                      
 33 08/29/2014 Away    W    54.94  35  19    A  60 ( 21- 69-  0) North Mahaska          -9.68     25.68                      
 34 09/05/2014 Home    L    51.79  21  34    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine          -12.83     -0.17                      
 35 09/12/2014 Away    L   -10.46   0  47   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren   -75.08     28.08                      
 36 09/19/2014 Home    W    63.72  41  14   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         -0.90     27.90                      
 37 09/26/2014 Home    W *  51.36  42  30    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -13.26     25.26                      
 38 10/03/2014 Away    W *  68.76  34  18    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO            4.14     11.86                      
 39 10/10/2014 Home    L    67.79  21  26   1A  25 ( 63- 35-  0) Packwood Pekin          3.17     -8.17                      
 40 10/17/2014 Away    W    53.99  27   9   ZZ  53 ( 16- 40-  0) Danville              -10.63     28.63                      
 41 10/24/2014 Home    W *  78.60  49  20    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London             13.98     15.02                      
 42 10/29/2014 Away    L    40.62   0  40    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                -24.00    -16.00                      
 43 08/28/2015 Home    W    65.40  30   0    A  60 ( 21- 69-  0) North Mahaska           0.78     29.22  ND                  
 44 09/04/2015 Away    L    48.33  14  34    A  32 ( 53- 42-  0) Belle Plaine          -16.29     -3.71  ND                  
 45 09/11/2015 Home    W    59.00  62  36   1A  53 ( 21- 70-  0) Keosauqua Van Buren    -5.62     31.62                      
 46 09/18/2015 Away    W    82.26  48   6   1A  52 ( 27- 62-  0) Eldon Cardinal         17.64     24.36                      
 47 09/25/2015 Away    L *  32.90  20  30    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union     -31.72     21.72                      
 48 10/02/2015 Home    W *  68.22  36  17    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO            3.60     15.40                      
 49 10/09/2015 Away    L    61.34  20  35   1A  25 ( 63- 35-  0) Packwood Pekin         -3.28    -11.72                      
 50 10/16/2015 Home    W    42.45  33  23   ZZ  53 ( 16- 40-  0) Danville              -22.17     32.17                      
 51 10/23/2015 Away    W *  72.14  27   8    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London              7.52     11.48                      
 52 10/28/2015 Away    L    59.62  14  35    A  13 ( 71- 35-  0) Lisbon                 -5.00    -16.00                      
 53 08/19/2016 Home    W    73.26  63  22    8  55 ( 27- 66-  0) Central City            8.63     32.37  ND                  
 54 08/26/2016 Home    W *  69.54  66   0    8  66 ( 16- 66-  0) Thornburg Tri-County    4.92 *   61.08  ND                  
 55 09/02/2016 Away    W   111.31  55   8    8  22 ( 75- 31-  0) Victor HLV             46.69      0.31  ND                  
 56 09/09/2016 Away    W    77.21  30  12    8  31 ( 56- 44-  0) Springville            12.59      5.41                      
 57 09/16/2016 Home    W * 107.02  81   0    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys        42.40     38.60                      
 58 09/30/2016 Away    W * 108.76  69  13    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO           44.14     11.86                      
 59 10/07/2016 Home    W   118.15  73  14    8  25 ( 39- 38-  0) Easton Valley          53.53      5.47                      
 60 10/14/2016 Away    L    33.15  38  62    8  33 ( 48- 46-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -31.47      7.47                      
 61 10/21/2016 Home    W    64.83  70  62    8  29 ( 62- 39-  0) Wyoming Midland         0.21      7.79                      
 62 08/17/2017 Away    W    43.80  26  18    8  55 ( 27- 66-  0) Central City          -20.82     28.82  was 08/18 now 08/17 AND  ND
 63 08/25/2017 Away    W *  74.08  67   0    8  66 ( 16- 66-  0) Thornburg Tri-County    9.46     57.54  ND                  
 64 09/01/2017 Home    W    75.77  39  24    8  22 ( 75- 31-  0) Victor HLV             11.15      3.85  ND                  
 65 09/08/2017 Home    W    89.67  48  14    8  31 ( 56- 44-  0) Springville            25.05      8.95                      
 66 09/15/2017 Away    W *  78.57  55   6    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys        13.95     35.05                      
 67 09/22/2017 Home    L    21.07  36  62    8  43 ( 20- 17-  0) Baxter                -43.55     17.55  ND                  
 68 09/29/2017 Home    W *  86.22  62  25    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO           21.60     15.40                      
 69 10/06/2017 Away    W   102.70  78  38    8  25 ( 39- 38-  0) Easton Valley          38.08      1.92                      
 70 10/13/2017 Home    W   100.61  77  30    8  33 ( 48- 46-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley    35.99     11.01                      
 71 10/20/2017 Away    L    28.37  20  52    8  29 ( 62- 39-  0) Wyoming Midland       -36.25      4.25                      
 72 10/27/2017 Away    L    27.31  22  59    8  22 ( 75- 31-  0) Victor HLV            -37.31      0.31                      
 73 08/17/2018 Away    L    57.37  47  50    8  29 ( 62- 39-  0) Wyoming Midland        -7.25      4.25  ND                  
 74 08/24/2018 Away    W *  80.76  36  25    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma              16.14     -5.14                      
 75 08/31/2018 Home    L    13.61  16  56    8  33 ( 48- 46-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -51.01     11.01                      
 76 09/07/2018 Away    L    50.31  26  40    8  22 ( 75- 31-  0) Victor HLV            -14.31      0.31                      
 77 09/14/2018 Home    L *   2.60   6  53    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London            -62.02     15.02                      
 78 09/21/2018 Home    L *  38.22  38  49    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO          -26.40     15.40                      
 79 10/05/2018 Home    W *  60.54  57   0    8  66 ( 16- 66-  0) Thornburg Tri-County   -4.08 *   61.08                      
 80 10/12/2018 Away    W *  62.90  49  29    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union      -1.72     21.72                      
 81 10/19/2018 Away    W *  52.57  55  32    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys       -12.05     35.05                      
 82 08/30/2019 Home    L    44.83  32  44    8  29 ( 62- 39-  0) Wyoming Midland       -19.79      7.79  ND                  
 83 09/06/2019 Away    L    30.70  12  44    8  25 ( 39- 38-  0) Easton Valley         -33.92      1.92  ND                  
 84 09/13/2019 Away    L    61.31  26  29    8  22 ( 75- 31-  0) Victor HLV             -3.31      0.31                      
 85 09/20/2019 Away    W *  59.14  48  42 1  8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London             -5.48     11.48                      
 86 09/27/2019 Home    W *  72.21  69  63    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma               7.59     -1.59                      
 87 10/04/2019 Home    W *  69.36  62  32    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       4.74     25.26                      
 88 10/11/2019 Away    L    25.15  12  44    8  33 ( 48- 46-  0) Marengo Iowa Valley   -39.47      7.47                      
 89 10/18/2019 Away    W *  68.76  36  20    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO            4.14     11.86                      
 90 10/25/2019 Home    W *  96.02  70   0    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys        31.40     38.60                      
 91 08/28/2020 Away    L *  12.57  22  39    8  63 ( 27- 67-  0) English Valleys       -52.05     35.05                      
 92 09/11/2020 Away    W *  88.76  42   6    8  38 ( 42- 49-  0) Wayland WACO           24.14     11.86                      
 93 09/18/2020 Home    L *  21.60  26  54    8  36 ( 46- 49-  0) New London            -43.02     15.02                      
 94 09/25/2020 Home    W    68.17  52  14    8  59 ( 13- 77-  0) Garwin GMG              3.54     34.46  ND                  
 95 10/03/2020 Away    W *  67.98  50  14    8  61 ( 44- 52-  0) Moravia                 3.36     32.64  was 10/02 now 10/03 
 96 10/09/2020 Away    L *  31.76  24  62    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma             -32.86     -5.14                      
 97 10/16/2020 Away    W *  72.90  66  36    8  52 ( 29- 63-  0) Winfield-Mt Union       8.28     21.72                      
 98 10/23/2020 Away    L *  29.76  14  54    8  18 ( 61- 39-  0) Montezuma             -34.86     -5.14                      
      Averages              64.60  37.9 25.2

Best game:  121.14 = 68 point win over New London
Worst game: -10.46 = 47 point loss to Keosauqua Van Buren
Team stdev:  26.97